Good morning, and welcome again to Europe Categorical. I hope you had a terrific break — or higher nonetheless, are studying this whereas nonetheless on the sunlounger. For individuals who completely switched off, the summer time was very like the remainder of 2025: Donald Trump stated: “Leap!” and Europe replied: “How excessive?”, on a lopsided trade deal and a school trip to the White House.
At the moment, our Canada correspondent studies on Mark Carney’s Eurotrip this week, and our local weather correspondent explores the monetary windfall from Brussels’ carbon border tax.
Associates with advantages
5 months in workplace, 4 journeys to Europe: Serial customer Mark Carney is again on this aspect of the Atlantic as soon as once more this week because the Canadian prime minister drives house his pitch for even nearer co-operation, writes Ilya Gridneff.
Context: The EU and Canada have at all times been largely aligned however the impetus on each side to deepen ties has surged following US President Donald Trump’s return to energy.
At the moment Carney, a former governor of the Financial institution of England, is in Poland to fulfill Prime Minister Donald Tusk. That follows yesterday’s trip to Kyiv to mark Ukraine’s Independence day. Tomorrow he’ll head to Germany to make a joint declaration with German Chancellor Friedrich Merz on essential mineral provide chains for defence and automotives.
In Kyiv, Carney stated drones, armoured autos and different munitions are headed to Ukraine as a part of a C$2bn (€1.2bn) army support bundle that can begin being delivered subsequent month.
This newest Europe journey comes after Canada on Friday dropped the 25 per cent tariff it imposed on many US items since March. Metal and aluminium duties stay.
On Wednesday, Carney can be in Latvia, the place Canada has deployed roughly 2,000 troopers as a part of a Nato mission — its largest abroad army contingent — aimed toward deterring Russian aggression.
Diversifying Canada’s buying and selling relationships with allies in Europe, Asia and Latin America is essential to Carney’s agenda of constructing “the strongest economic system within the G7”. It’s also an effort to insulate in opposition to Trump’s tariffs that uncovered an over-reliance on the US economic system that roughly equates to C$1.3tn a 12 months.
So bringing Canada nearer to Europe is a “high precedence”, in accordance with a authorities briefing notice.
Final week, Mélanie Joly, Canada’s trade minister, was on an analogous mission to Nordic nations, searching for to purchase extra army equipment from the likes of Sweden and Finland to offset its commerce and defence dependence on the US. In June Carney signed a defence partnership with the EU in Brussels.
However regardless of the great vibes, commerce tensions stay and profitable offers stay elusive.
Ten EU member states out of 27 have still not ratified a free commerce settlement with Canada (Ceta) signed 9 years in the past, which diminished tariffs on items and opened up companies.
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Raking it in
The EU’s carbon border tax might earn the bloc as much as €11.3bn yearly if different nations preserve buying and selling with the EU “as typical”, in accordance with a brand new report seen by Alice Hancock.
Context: The Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism is without doubt one of the EU’s most groundbreaking — and controversial — local weather insurance policies. The levy will apply from 2026. Importers can be anticipated to pay for the carbon emissions of imports into the EU at a value benchmarked in opposition to the EU’s emissions buying and selling system.
The report, printed at the moment by think-tank Sandbag and the Konrad Adenauer Basis, stated that the headline €11.3bn value to 3rd nations would in actuality be diminished because of the additional revenues generated by promoting merchandise at the next value. It may very well be reduce to €715mn per 12 months if different nations introduce their very own carbon worth at €50 per tonne of carbon dioxide launched.
The development of CBAM will make up a essential a part of the autumn’s work for the European Fee’s local weather and tax directorates.
The fee is consulting on which downstream merchandise to incorporate inside CBAM’s scope, which at the moment consists of cement, iron and metal, aluminium, fertilisers, electrical energy and hydrogen. It’s also taking a look at anti-circumvention measures and whether or not to replace guidelines on state support compensation for prime electrical energy prices throughout the EU because of its carbon worth.
A remaining component will contain engaged on methods to guard heavy trade being undercut by cheaper, much less inexperienced options of their export markets, a senior EU official stated.
The fee’s carbon pricing job drive — a diplomatic outreach group serving to different nations arrange their very own emissions buying and selling techniques — can be growing its work.
Carbon pricing might play a significant function at this November’s COP30 local weather convention in Brazil. Brazil, a significant EU buying and selling associate, not too long ago signed into legislation its personal emissions buying and selling system.
What to observe at the moment
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Canadian prime minister Mark Carney visits Poland.
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