QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, first I need to thanks for coming to Paris. In contrast to in america, you have been on French nationwide TV. You really made an impression right here.
My query is that this: you mentioned that the EU consumes greater than 50% to feed the forms. The view right here is that our economic system is doing extraordinarily badly, as you warned would occur at your speak right here. Folks have to know that this concept of socialism is what’s collapsing. It doesn’t matter what occurs, the federal government is totally run by a bunch of incompetents who juggle billions whereas households battle simply to place meals on the desk. Macron, as you mentioned, blamed Trump for the rise in vitality, however he omits his assist for Ukraine and the sanctions on Russia that began the rise in gas prices.
Are we headed to a brand new Sixth Republic? Would you advise establishing a brand new authorities?
Andre
ANSWER: In 2025, France’s whole public expenditure reached €1.7141 trillion, with public spending equal to 57.3% of GDP—the very best share within the European Union. That is the core drawback: the federal government consumes 57.3% of the economic system, leaving minimal dwelling requirements for the folks. The protests started with a significant motion referred to as “Block The whole lot” (Bloquons tout), which held its first main day of motion on September 10, 2025 (2025.693). Cyclically, this might attain a significant crest as late as August 12, 2027.
Nevertheless, the protests in France turned large-scale and nationwide beginning on October 17, 2026 (2026.794). What started as a scholar motion over college circumstances escalated right into a broad nationwide upheaval involving lots of of 1000’s of individuals and vital violence. Within the brief time period, this might proceed into December 16, 2026.
This coming week may even see renewed battle. Macron’s mistake is what all authorities do when they’re threatened with collapse – they lash out on the the folks and attempt to suppress them, however this doesn’t clear up the issue – it solely postpones it. We’re headed right into a world recession into 2028 and this may amplify the unrest. The danger that the French authorities will fall turns up in 2028/2029.
The economic system shouldn’t be working. GDP is falling and Europe is determined for warfare. You might be listening to all the federal government telling folks to replenish for what’s their meant warfare. They’ll create some type of false flag to say they’ve been attacked by Russia.
Right here is Former Defence Choose Committee Chair, Tobias Ellwood, speaking about how this authorities shouldn’t be doing sufficient investing in navy within the UK. Clearly warfare is within the air in Europe. Escalation is in some way “assured” regardless of Putin having mentioned repeatedly that he’s NOT fascinated about a higher warfare with Europe.
The concept that a threatened ruler begins a warfare to carry onto energy is an outdated statement in political thought. The idea is a recurring theme in historical past and political science, articulated by numerous thinkers and observers.
A quote attributed to Plato captures the essence:
“When the tyrant has disposed of international enemies by conquest or treaty, and there may be nothing to concern from them, then he’s at all times stirring up some warfare or different, so that the folks might require a frontrunner.”
Henry Kittredge Norton (1928) in his guide Again of Warfare, he described it as an “outdated trick” the place a governing energy, “threatened by rising discontent and opposition throughout the borders of its personal nation, precipitates a international warfare to reunite the nation and vindicate its personal authority.”
Political scientists have documented this dynamic in lots of particular circumstances. I’m NOT pulling this out of skinny air. Even just lately, Saddam invaded Iran in 1980 partly as a “pre-emptive strike to shore up his private rule” towards inside threats. He additionally reportedly informed interrogators {that a} principal purpose for invading Kuwait was his perception that he wanted to maintain his restive military occupied.
The whole reasoning behind the 2nd Modification within the US Structure was to thwart this drawback of governments utilizing navy energy as a result of it’s simply there. The Worth of Savoy was some of the excellent generals who influenced Montesquieu who in tuen influenced the Founding Fathers {that a} standing military is harmful for the state will at all times use it as a result of it’s there. No warfare has been approved by a Declaration issued by Congress since WWII. This proves the very level that Savoy made that kings created warfare as a result of they’d a military that wanted to do one thing.
Idi Amin (Uganda) again within the 1978 warfare with Tanzania is cited for instance the place Amin’s main objective was to cope with a menace from his personal navy forces, not a international adversary.
Hérault de Séchelles (1791) throughout the French Revolution, summarized the logic succinctly:
“Warfare will justify all of your steps; for, briefly, it’s at residence that warfare should be made on rebels earlier than it may be carried overseas.”
Once I say the EU is determined and Russia is one of the best enemy cash should buy, they face the identical selection. The EU will crumble and break aside, or they create warfare with Russia to retain energy. This can be a well-established precept in political idea and a recurring sample in historic evaluation.
