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    Home » 2026 Men’s NCAA Tournament Projections: Florida Replaces UConn as Final 1-Seed
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    2026 Men’s NCAA Tournament Projections: Florida Replaces UConn as Final 1-Seed

    FreshUsNewsBy FreshUsNewsMarch 8, 2026No Comments2 Mins Read
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    With Selection Sunday approaching, the race for the final No. 1 seed in the men’s NCAA Tournament has taken a dramatic turn.

    Three teams — Duke, Michigan and Arizona — appear to have all but locked up spots on the top seed line. The fourth spot, however, has remained unsettled for weeks, with several contenders making their case as the regular season winds down.

    UConn entered the weekend holding the final No. 1 seed in FOX Sports Bracket Forecaster Mike DeCourcy’s projections, but a shocking loss to the unranked Marquette opened the door for the surging Florida Gators, who picked up an impressive 84-77 road win over Kentucky.

    With the victory, and UConn’s stumble, the Gators now claim the final No. 1 seed in DeCourcy’s latest projections. Here’s a complete look at his updated NCAA Tournament seed list:

    Florida head coach Todd Golden reacts during the second half against Kentucky. (Photo by Michael Hickey/Getty Images)

    No. 1 seeds

    1. Duke
    2. Michigan
    3. Arizona
    4. Florida

    No. 2 seeds

    5. UConn
    6. Houston
    7. Illinois
    8. Michigan State

    No. 3 seeds

    9. Iowa State
    10. Alabama
    11. Nebraska
    12. Gonzaga

    No. 4 seeds

    13. Virginia
    14. Purdue
    15. Kansas
    16. Texas Tech

    No. 5 seeds

    17. Arkansas
    18. Vanderbilt
    19. St. John’s
    20. North Carolina

    No. 6 seeds

    21. Louisville
    22. Tennessee
    23. Wisconsin
    24. BYU

    No. 7 seeds

    25. Villanova
    26. Kentucky
    27. Saint Mary’s
    28. Georgia

    No. 8 seeds

    29. Miami Hurricanes
    30. Utah State
    31. Saint Louis
    32. UCLA

    No. 9 seeds

    33. Miami RedHawks
    34. Iowa
    35. Clemson
    36. TCU

    No. 10 seeds

    37. Missouri
    38. Texas A&M
    39. UCF
    40. NC State

    No. 11 seeds

    41. Ohio State
    42. Texas
    43. Santa Clara vs. 44. VCU
    45. SMU vs. 46. New Mexico

    No. 12 seeds

    47. South Florida
    48. Yale
    49. Liberty
    50. Stephen F. Austin

    No. 13 seeds

    51. UNC Wilmingon
    52. High Point
    53. Utah Valley
    54. Northern Iowa

    No. 14 seeds

    55. Navy
    56. UC Irvine
    57. North Dakota State
    58. Troy

    No. 15 seeds

    59. Portland State
    60. Wright State
    61. East Tennessee State
    62. Central Arkansas

    No. 16 seeds

    63. Tennessee State
    64. Merrimack
    65. LIU
    66. Howard
    67. UMBC
    68. Bethune-Cookman

    And it’s never too early to check in on the bubble.

    According to DeCourcy’s seed list, Indiana, Auburn, Virginia Tech and San Diego State are the first four teams out of the tournament, while Cal, Cincinnati, Oklahoma State and Seton Hall are the next four out.

    Selection Sunday is one week away, and this list will inevitably evolve. For now, DeCourcy’s latest seed list offers a clear snapshot of who’s rising, who’s falling and which programs are already building the résumés they’ll need when March Madness arrives.



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