Ethereum’s newest value construction is beginning to look like a sample that has beforehand led to steep declines, and one analyst believes the sign is already in play.
A technical breakdown shared by Leshka.eth on X factors to a SuperTrend reversal on the each day timeframe, which is a setup that has at all times led to heavy drawdowns for ETH. The construction is just not new, however the best way it’s forming once more has raised concern. If all goes in response to the laid out construction, then the ETH price could crash to as little as $1,200.
The SuperTrend Indicator Has Flipped Once more
The SuperTrend indicator is a trend-following instrument that plots dynamic help and resistance ranges based mostly on value volatility. This indicator has reversed bearish on Ethereum’s each day timeframe. In accordance with chart analysis by Leshka.eth, that is the third time this setup has appeared within the present cycle, and the earlier two situations led to steep losses.
The primary occasion, which shaped across the October and November 2025 interval, noticed Ethereum initially maintain a help zone earlier than breaking down. The collapse that adopted measured roughly 45.03%, a selloff that worn out a good portion of the positive factors from earlier within the 12 months. Notably, this selloff noticed the ETH value fall from above $4,750 till it fell under $2,750.
The second setup happened in early 2026. Once more, the ETH value appeared to search out footing at a help degree in early January, however that help ultimately gave approach through the second half of the month. This ultimately led to a decline that appeared like the primary episode in magnitude, with the ETH value falling under $1,850 within the first week of February 2026.
That very same transition is now happening once more. The SuperTrend has turned purple, and this locations Ethereum in a situation that has at all times favored continuation to the draw back.
The Line In The Sand
The outlook from this evaluation locations the vital degree to observe at $1,990. That is the place the present SuperTrend reversal is forming, and it’s the make-or-break zone for the near-term ETH outlook. The chart reveals a dashed horizontal line as help across the $1,990 value degree as the road within the sand that must not be broken.
Worth has already tried to push increased into resistance round $2,300, as seen within the chart above however these moves have been rejected. In accordance with Leshka.eth, if $1,900 breaks, then the subsequent goal is the $1,200 zone.
The chart annotations level to drops of roughly 45% to 48% after comparable setups, and making use of that vary to the present construction tasks Ethereum’s subsequent main zone round $1,200.
Featured picture from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
Editorial Course of for bitcoinist is centered on delivering completely researched, correct, and unbiased content material. We uphold strict sourcing requirements, and every web page undergoes diligent evaluation by our workforce of prime know-how specialists and seasoned editors. This course of ensures the integrity, relevance, and worth of our content material for our readers.
