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    Home » Kalshi’s June esports data shows a $231.8M market dominated by Counter-Strike
    eSports

    Kalshi’s June esports data shows a $231.8M market dominated by Counter-Strike

    FreshUsNewsBy FreshUsNewsJuly 4, 2026No Comments6 Mins Read
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    Kalshi’s esports markets traded $231.8 million throughout 4.05 million particular person trades in June 2026, unfold throughout 28 distinct sequence masking seven titles. With the hazard of sounding like I’m flogging a useless horse, the $231.8 million traded doesn’t equal complete cash risked, such is the character of prediction markets.

    The extra fascinating one is that this: 57% of it, $132.1 million, was a small cluster of Counter-Strike 2 markets, and a very good chunk of that ran by means of one week in the midst of the month, when IEM Cologne was dwell. I beforehand broke down IEM Cologne’s Kalshi data here.

    Kalshi Esports · June 2026

    The month in 4 numbers

    Complete Contracts

    231.80M

    231,796,650

    Complete Trades

    4.05M

    4,047,758 fills

    Lively Collection

    28

    distinct esports markets

    Days Tracked

    30

    2026-06-01 → 2026-06-30

    CS2 completely dominates June

    There’s a transparent market chief in what individuals are buying and selling in June, and the reply’s clearly Counter-Strike. 59% of each esports contract traded on Kalshi in June 2026 was on Counter-Strike 2. This was virtually fully single-match betting (made up of recreation winner, map winner and total-maps markets), plus a small slice on the tournament-outright market.

    No different title cracked 12% of the month’s quantity, and the sheer dominance was notably pronounced at IEM Cologne within the third week.

    High Collection — Full Month

    2026-06-01 → 2026-06-30 · ranked by contracts traded · CS2’s recreation/map/total-maps/qualifier markets mixed into one “Single-Match Betting” line; CS2 Match Winner (the outright futures market) stays separate

    #

    Collection

    Contracts

    Trades

    % Mo.

    01

    CS2 Single-Match Betting

    CS2

    132.13M

    2.12M

    57.0%

    02

    League of Legends Sport

    League of Legends

    26.80M

    353.1K

    11.6%

    03

    Valorant recreation winner

    Valorant

    20.14M

    429.2K

    8.7%

    04

    League of Legends Map Winner

    League of Legends

    12.65M

    201.3K

    5.5%

    06

    Name of Obligation Video games

    Name of Obligation

    7.28M

    180.1K

    3.1%

    07

    Valorant Map Winner

    Valorant

    5.91M

    121.5K

    2.5%

    09

    CS2 Match Winner

    CS2

    3.51M

    30.8K

    1.5%

    11

    COD Map Winner

    Name of Obligation

    2.12M

    54.0K

    0.9%

    12

    League of Legends Complete Maps

    League of Legends

    1.74M

    42.8K

    0.8%

    League of Legends Sport Winner was a distant second at 11.6% of the month ($26.8 million), with Valorant’s game-winner market shut behind at 8.7% ($20.1 million). Between them, CS2’s single-match betting, LoL’s recreation market and Valorant’s recreation market accounted for 77% of all the things traded on Kalshi’s esports board in June. It goes to point out that when there’s a significant Counter-Strike occasion on, it swallows the competitors. Whether or not or not that modifications in July with LoL’s MSI going down stays to be seen.

    Share of Month-to-month Contract Quantity, by Sport

    What “57%” is definitely manufactured from

    It’s value breaking such a considerable quantity down. CS2, broadly talking, isn’t only one market on Kalshi. It may be break up into 5. These are whether or not a staff wins the match; whether or not it wins a given map; whether or not the match goes over or underneath a total-maps line; whether or not a staff qualifies for the following stage of a match; and, individually, who wins the entire occasion outright. Practically four-fifths of CS2’s complete month-to-month quantity, $103.8 million, sat within the single “who wins the match” market alone. Map winner markets added one other 20% ($26.9 million).

    Inside CS2’s 135.65M Contracts

    how CS2’s personal quantity splits throughout its 5 markets

    Single-Match Betting vs. Match Outright

    Single-Match Betting
    Match Winner (outright)

    Inside Single-Match Betting

    The IEM Cologne impact, at a extra granular degree

    The match comfortably produced just about the entire high ten greatest markets, and stealing a desk I made for the IEM Cologne evaluation, the match-level wagering usually adopted the match development.

    Falcons had been concerned within the high three traded markets. This may merely be defined by the magnitude of the eventual winners’ contests with the 2 groups tipped to win all of it pre-tournament in Workforce Spirit and Workforce Vitality.

    Match quantity

    High 15 Matches — All Levels

    Ranked by mixed market quantity (each side)

    Jun 2–21, 2026

    1Falcons vs FURIAGrand Last$3.64M
    2Spirit vs FalconsPlayoff SF$3.45M
    3Vitality vs FalconsPlayoff QF$3.30M
    4G2 vs Natus VincereStage 3$2.62M
    5Spirit vs G2 EsportsPlayoff QF$2.44M
    69z vs SpiritStage 3$2.56M
    7Falcons vs Natus VincereStage 3$2.07M
    89z vs FURIAPlayoff QF$1.94M
    9G2 vs FalconsStage 3$1.71M
    10BIG vs NRGStage 1$1.44M
    11Spirit vs Aurora GamingStage 3$1.31M
    12B8 Esports vs BIGStage 2$1.26M
    13BetBoom vs FalconsStage 3$1.16M
    14GamerLegion vs B8 EsportsStage 2$1.05M
    159z vs VitalityStage 3$1.02M

    League of Legends might be set for a giant MSI

    One match would break into the highest ten, sitting simply above 9z vs FURIA outdoors of Counter-Strike and that match was T1 vs Gen.G which noticed $1.97 million traded. There’s not been an terrible lot of League of Legends motion of late with MSI play-ins simply ending up (and my god, did T1 look robust). The Korean World Champions didn’t drop a single map as they swept their method to the principle stage at MSI. As we transfer into July, it’ll be fascinating to see if having an enormous international League of Legends occasion takes a few of Counter-Strike’s thunder. On condition that the variety of fixtures is considerably decrease, MSI might not attain Cologne’s complete seismic quantity,however I’d count on there to be some heavy-hitters on match quantity alone.

    Editor’s methodology notice: Figures cowl Kalshi esports markets from 2026-06-01 → 2026-06-30. “Contracts” refers to complete contract quantity traded on a market; “trades” refers back to the variety of particular person fills. Weekly blocks run Sunday–Saturday from June 1; Week 5 is a two-day tail (June 29–30) and shouldn’t be in contrast on to full seven-day weeks. CS2’s recreation winner, map winner, total-maps and qualifier markets are mixed into one “Single-Match Betting” line all through, since they’re all bets on the identical underlying matches; the separate CS2 Match Winner market (an outright futures decide) is stored by itself line. Particular person-match figures mix each side of a match (e.g. “will A win” and “will B win”) into one market-size complete; the place just one facet’s quantity was accessible, the determine is flagged and displays that facet alone. Figures are sourced from Kalshi’s public market information.



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